August 28, 2015

International Seminar "Urban Resilience"



At this time, I will present you my research about resilience, titled RESILIENCE OF ADOLESCENCE DISASTER SURVIVOR WHO AFFECTED PYROCLASTIC FALL FROM KELUD VOLCANO ERUPTION IN KEDIRI REGENCY. Actually, there is two lecturer who supervising me on this research, they are Mr Rahmat Hidayat, Ph.D and Dr. Dina Ruslanjari, but unfortunately they cannot attend to here because some duties. 

Introduction
Well, as we know Kelud Volcano erupted on February 2014. Koentjoro (2005) said that every disaster event could cause anxiety, stress and traumatic. Ronan & Johnston (2005) said that adolescences are susceptible to disasters. 62% of adolescence are in the category of “severely disturbed” from disasters, while only 32% of adults and 7% of volunteers fall in this category (Watson, 2003). Therefore, they need strategies to cope with the adversities they face.

According to Kediri Regency Government, Kelud Volcano eruption had caused severe damages to 8.622 homes, moderate damages to 5.426 homes, and mild damages to 5.088 homes. Goto (2006) and Kuwabara (2006) said that the loss of material posession in the form of housing can lower the degree of resilience.

Based on type of pyroclastic fall from the last eruption, Kelud Volcano has different type in each district. Someplace only showered by ash while the other showered by ash, sand, and pumice. Wang said that the duration and intensity of stressor exposition of the disaster also can lower the degree of resilience.

Objectives
This study has two objectives. The first one is to analyze the differences of resilience of adolescence who affected pyroclastic fall from Kelud Volcano in Kediri Regency and the second is to reveal the factors that contribute to resilience of adolescence.

Literature Review
Resilience refers to a dynamic process encompassing positive adaptation within the context of significant adversity (Luthar, and co, 2000). People can be considered resilient if they are able to adapt constructively to changes after a stressful incident. Resilience is effected by two factors, they are internal and external factors.

Internal factors consist of, personality (openness, extrovert, and agreeableness), internal locus of control, the ability to cope with problems, self-efficacy, self-esteem (Herrman, 2011). External factors are social support which include support from families and the society (Herrman, 2011).

Methods
This research used a mixed method research where I combine two research methods, quantitative and qualitative. The strategy used in this mixed method research is sequential explanatory where collection and analysis of the data in the first phase will be done quantitatively, then followed by collection and analysis of the data using qualitative method in the second phase which will be based on the previous quantitative result.
The dependent variable is resilience and the independent variable is adolescences who affected pyroclastic fall which is divided into three groups. Group I is adolescence who affected volcanic ash, Group II is adolescence who affected volcanic ash and sand and adolescence who affected volcanic ash, sand, and pumice as Group III.

Data were collected through two phase. At the first phase, data were collected quantitatively. I used resilience questionnaire. This questionnaire was adapted from the resilience questionnaire compiled by Connor & Davidson (2003) and consist of 25 items.

The second phase, data were collected qualitatively where I did in-depth interview to informants based on the previous quantitative result. Informant in this study is counceling teacher.

Sampling Technique
At the first phase, subjects were drawn by purposive sampling technique. I visited to the school which affected pyroclastic fall from Kelud Volcano eruption, i.e. SMA Puncu, Gurah, dan Grogol. Then I asked to the student, what kind of pyroclastic fall which affected to them when Kelud Volcano eruption in 2014. Next, each student will be given a questionnaire based on it. Questionnaire consists of three types which is Form A for the student who affected volcanic ash, Form B for the student who affected ash and sand, and Form C for the student who affected ash, sand, and pumice.

In addition, the next phase I choose significant person of the student as a subject to be interviewed. The informants of this research are counceling teacher, one informant in each school. I choose counceling teacher because they are the person who know much about psychological condition of the student.

Data Analysis
First, I  gave scoring to the items in the questionnaire according to the available norm. Then I did a categorization as a step to give values (intpretation) towards the raw score from the research questinnaire. I categorized it by three which is high, moderate, and low. After that the quantitative data is then analyzed using one way Anova. One way Anova testing is done to test the correlation between one dependent variable with one or more independent variable.

Result
Sample of the research is 163 students consist of 49 ash, 55 ash and sand, 59 ash, sand, and pumice. Before analyze data using Anova, I did test of homogeneity variance. F value from homogeneity test is 0.579 and is not significant on 0.05 (p value is 0.562). It means hypothesis null is accepted that variance is equal.

Next, I did test of between subject to reveal whether pyroclastic fall influence resilience or not. F value is 1.008 and is not significant on 0.05 (p value is 0.367). Because p value is above 0.05, it could be conclude that pyroclastic fall did not influence resilience. So there were no difference in resilience among three groups.
I also did Post Hoc Test to reveal difference of resilience between group through Turkey Test and Bonferroni Test. The result is no significant difference among groups.

At this study, I collected some demographic data from the student that is gender, civil status (local or immigrant), family structure (parent divorce, died, or not), number of siblings, eruption impact (evacuate or not), and socio-economic status.

I did regression analysis to those demographic data. Before it, the data should pass the assumptions of the classical linear regression model which is multicollinearity test, autocorrelation test, heteroscedasticity test, normality test è Those are passed to run regression analysis.

Then I did F-Test for Overall Significance è F value is 0.789; Sig = 0.626 è no significant difference. Because of p value is above 0.05, then regression model could not be used to predict resilience. It means no significant influence from demographic data toward resilience.

t-test is done to reveal influence of each demographic variable toward resilience. From the table, we can see that there is not even single variable which has p value below 0.05.

Result form the one way Anova testing showed there are no significant difference in resilience between the three groups that was tested. Means of resilience of the students is moderate and high.

Based on in-depth interview to the informant, high level of resilience of the student is caused by some factors, one of them is the huge amount of social support from various people. It formed as material, emotional, and network support. Material support usually consists of physical support like school utilities, everyday needs, and so on. Emotional support is given by counceling teacher to the student about their problem after eruption. As I mention at the slide, that is quote from Mrs. Eka, counceling teacher of SMA Puncu, about condition of her student.

Yes, they were joyed after previously crying “Mam, I have no books, bags, all of it” and then they received help, in the end they were happy (Mrs. Eka)

Besides social support, another factor that had caught attention is preparedness. The informants stated that before the eruption happened, the government had given instructions to schools to be cautious of eruptions and suspending learning activities for a couple of days. As I mention at the slide, that is quote from Mrs. Ida, counceling teacher of SMA Gurah, about preparedness.

2 days before the eruption, there were already a briefing for the areas that were showed indications because of the continous rumbling (Mrs Ida)

There were one from the department, and local government. There were formal letters instructing to suspend learning activities (Mrs. Ida)

Conclusions and Suggestions
Conclusions
There are no significant difference in resilience on adolescence disaster survivor that was affected by pyroclastic materials

Contributing factors toward adolescence disaster survivor’s resilience are social support and the people’s preparedness.

Suggestions
For the government, the need to add mental support programs for the people and increase the people’s preparedness in facing disasters.

For further research, it is hoped that adolescencen who doesn’t go to school are also included as subjects so it can enrich this research result.

A research on the level of adolescence optimism needs to be done because based on the in-depth interview, the adolescence experience demotivation to continue college and is uncertain of their future  

That’s all my presentation. Thank you for your attention.


#Surabaya

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